Even if Congress rejects Trump’s proposed Muslim immigration ban, a Trump presidency could profoundly shift the United States’ Afghanistan strategy. Based on his public statements and policy proposals, Trump’s Afghanistan strategy will likely emphasize preserving short-term stability in Afghanistan and containing Pakistan.
This approach contrasts markedly with the Obama administration’s focus on nation building and strengthening Afghan political institutions. In addition, Trump’s characterization of Afghanistan as a nexus for terrorism could strain the Washington-Kabul relationship and reduce Afghan military support for U.S. counterterrorism operations.
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