Saturday 28 August 2010

10 Reasons Why the US Can't Win In Afghanistan


1.) The Taliban and the other resistance groups have deep roots in the population – family community, linguistic and cultural ties which the US does not possess nor can ever buy or have. They can't spin it either.
2.) The Resistance has fluid borders and broad international support especially with Pakistan but also with other anti-imperialist, Islamic groups who provide arms and volunteers and who engage in actively attacking the logistical transport supply lines of US-NATO military in Pakistan. They also pressure overseas US client regimes like Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, Yemen and Somalia opening multiple fronts.

3.) Widespread infiltration, voluntary, active and passive support of the Resistance among the US recruited and trained Afghan military and police results in crucial intelligence on troop movements. Desertions and absenteeism undermines "military competence".

4.) The scope and breadth of Taliban activity over extends NATO/ISAF at its current strength and causes it to rely on unreliable Afghan security, who have no stomach for the fight, especially when directed against communities with relatives or ethnic kin.

5.) Resistance allies are more loyal, less corrupt and reliable because of deeply shared beliefs. US allies are loyal only because of ephemeral monetary gratification and the temporary presence of US military force.

6.) The Taliban resistance appeals to the people in the name of a return to law and order in everyday life, which preceded the disruptive invasion. The US promise of positive outcomes following a successful war, have no popular resonance after a decade long destructive occupation.

7.) The US has no belief system that can compete with the religious-nationalist-traditionalist appeal of the Resistance to the vast majority of village, small town and displaced rural population.

8.) The Resistance's support of Iraqi, Palestinian and other anti-US forces has a positive appeal among the Afghan people who have seen the destructive results of US wars in Iraq and proxy wars in Pakistan, Somalia and Yemen. The US backed Israeli assault of Lebanon and the humanitarian ship destined for Palestine and the highly visible presence of Zionist militants in the US government, repels the more politically aware opinion leaders in Afghanistan.

9.) Afghans have, by force of circumstances, longer staying power in resisting the US military occupation, than the US people who have other, far more pressing needs and the US military with growing commitments in the Gulf.

10.) Whilst the Taliban kills civilians in combat missions, the US/Nato/Isaf troops are frequently blamed for this due to their unwelcome presence. The Afghans who are part of the villages in occupied communities are also subject to assassinations by "Special Forces" and drone bombings (see previous posts going back to 2005). In these circumstances ordinary people suffer the same military assaults as the Taliban and resistance fighters.

1 comment:

  1. Plus "winning" a counterinsurgency is hard enough to begin with. The best real-case scenario is to not lose, which is America's current position.

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